Saturday 3 March 2012

Odds understood

Remember you bet the figure on right to win that on left

so...................4-1 means you bet 1 rs. to win 4......so total of 5 ................

Example

In considering a soccer match (the event) that can be either a 'home win', 'draw' or 'away win' (the outcomes) then the following odds might be encountered to represent the true chance of each of the three outcomes:
Home: Evens
Draw: 2-1
Away: 5-1
These odds can be represented as relative probabilities (or percentages by multiplying by 100) as follows:
Evens (or 1-1) corresponds to a relative probability of 12 (50%)
2-1 corresponds to a relative probability of 13 (3313%)
5-1 corresponds to a relative probability of 16 (1623%)
By adding the percentages together a total 'book' of 100% is achieved (representing a fair book). The bookmaker, in his wish to avail himself of a profit, will invariably reduce these odds. Consider the simplest model of reducing, which uses a proportional decreasing of odds

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